publication

Estimating the Effects of Shrinking the Criminal Justice System on Criminal Recidivism

“We examined the impact of Raise the Age (RTA) in Massachusetts, which increased the maximum jurisdictional age for its juvenile court in late 2013. Using statewide re-arraignment data and a difference-in-differences research design comparing affected 17-year-olds to unaffected 18-year-olds, we find that RTA increased recidivism for affected 17-year-olds. The observed increases in recidivism were especially large for 17-year-olds without prior justice involvement. This result may stem from the more extensive use of pretrial supervision or the diminished deterrence of prosecution within the Massachusetts juvenile justice system.”

Estimating the Effects of Shrinking the Criminal Justice System on Criminal Recidivism

Charles E. Loeffler, Anthony A. Braga (May 2022)